The Cost of Aviation Fuel, Part 2

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FBOs Might Need a Two-Pronged Pricing Strategy

"Everybody has accepted by now that change is unavoidable. But that still implies that change is like death and taxes — it should be postponed as long as possible and no change would be vastly preferable. But in a period of upheaval, such as the one we are living in, change is the norm." – Peter Drucker, Management Challenges for the 21st Century (1999)

Recently, I was reading an article posted to Eye on the Economy on msnbc.com. The article was titled “As oil prices drop, Fed should get credit.” After reading the article, I decided to write Part 2 to a previous blog post titled The Cost of Aviation Fuel.

In the first post, I talked about continued increases in the cost of aviation fuel and what FBOs can do to mitigate high retail prices. We looked at a number of the reasons for the increasing cost of fuel:

  • The Fed policy of a weak dollar — a weak dollar requires more dollars to buy a barrel of crude oil.
  • The continued unrest in the Middle East.
  • Uncertainty with the federal deficit.
  • Speculators betting on the increased price of fuel.
  • Lack of offshore drilling in the United States.

Since then, here is what is happening in the world markets:

  1. The dollar’s value is up 3 percent so far this month after sliding 15 percent against other currencies over the past year.
  2. Global growth seems to be slowing.
  3. The inflation threat from easy money policies may be easing.
  4. Oil stocks have remained high even with the unrest in the Middle East.
  5. Inflation fears in Europe have prompted European central banks to raise interest rates.
  6. China has required its banks to hold larger cash reserves to help curb inflation.

The Platts fuel index prices peaked two weeks ago. The Gulf Coast Pipeline mean was $3.3239 per gallon. Looks like the West Coast took the prize for the highest Platts prices at $3.4275.

So what happened in the last two weeks? Prices dropped more than 15 cents last week (May 10). This week, we have seen nearly an additional 8 cent drop (May 16). We now have a drop of 23 cents!  Perhaps your customers are wondering why you haven’t dropped your price.

I’ve seen posted retail prices of Jet A as high as $8.74 per gallon. Who is going to pay that for jet fuel?

And what’s going on with oil futures? The trend right now is good, but will it last? There are many factors in the national and world marketplace that can affect what is happening.

On a national basis, we have the debt ceiling vote coming within two weeks or so; the economy might continue to slow; demand might be down; the Middle East could get more unstable. All these issues can negatively affect the markets and drive up prices again.

It appears the oil commodities markets/speculators are backing off the high prices to be paid for futures.

Simply put, the forces that drove the market up are now down.

All this begs several questions:

  • Will the fuel prices continue to drop?
  • How do I react and price my fuel?
  • The customers want better prices now! How do I help them while trying to keep my business profitable?

What Can You Do?

First, do not change your price! You have all that high priced fuel in storage — the same goes for the terminals and pipelines. This high-priced inventory will take a few weeks to work itself through the system. So when you purchase you next load of fuel, you will then be able to purchase at the lower price. How fast you turn over your fuel will determine how and when you pass along price reductions to your customers.

In a previous blog post, we talked about FBO Fuel Pricing: Seeking a Silver Bullet, so we won’t plow that ground twice. Suffice it to say you must maintain your margin to sustain your profitability and understand pricing theory. But the high price of fuel is making the customers very price sensitive. Change is coming!

Dual Pricing Strategy

One possible scenario is to establish a dual pricing strategy by providing an a la carte service as well as a full-service offering.

Remember when gas stations offered two levels of service, self service and full service? You would pay extra if you wanted everything under the hood plus your wipers and tire pressure checked. Otherwise, you saved by doing it yourself.

An FBO could offer two levels of service as well. For instance, you could offer full service for one price, whether retail or contract fuel. Under this pricing scenario, you continue to offer all your usual amenities for one set full-service price.

Then you could offer a discounted or a la carte “basic” service price. If the operator wanted other services, he could pay for ice, coffee, papers, lounge, transportation, baggage handling, galley and lav servicing, etc.

Our advice is to stay in touch with your fuel suppliers and what is happening in the national and world marketplace. Change will continue to happen, and you must be aware of it and react in a reasonable businesslike manner to be successful. Think seriously about an a la carte or full-service pricing methodology.

FBO Success Seminar Registration

The next NATA FBO Success Seminar is scheduled for Nov. 8-10 in Atlanta. Register at nata.aero.

John Enticknap

John Enticknap founded Aviation Business Strategies Group in 2006 following a distinguished career in aviation fueling and FBO management, including as president of Mercury Air Centers. He is the author of 10 Steps to Building a Profitable FBO and developed NATA’s acclaimed FBO Success Seminar Series.